Complete CS2 Case Odds Guide: Cases, Souvenir Packages & Sticker Drop Rates
CS2 cases contain valuable weapon skins and items with different rarity levels and drop rates. Here's what you need to know about the odds:
Rarity Levels and Odds:
- Consumer Grade (White) - Most common
- Industrial Grade (Light blue)
- Mil-Spec (Darker blue)
- Restricted (Purple)
- Classified (Pinkish purple)
- Covert (Red) - Very rare
- Special Items (Gold) - Extremely rare
Key Probabilities:
- Knife skins: 0.254% chance
- Covert (Red) skins: 0.64% chance
- Glove skins: 0.254% chance (same as knives)
Sticker Capsule Odds:
- Foil stickers (Pink) - Rarest
- Holo stickers (Purple) - Uncommon
- High-Grade stickers (Blue) - Most common
Souvenir Package Odds:
- Consumer Grade: 79.87%
- Industrial Grade: 15.97%
- Mil-Spec: 3.33%
- Restricted: 0.66%
- Classified: 0.13%
- Covert: 0.027%
Best Practices:
- Consider market trends before opening cases
- Choose cases with valuable potential drops
- Purchase from official sources (Steam, in-game store)
- Be aware that profit chances are around 15%
- Weekly rank-up drops provide free cases
- Prime status members get additional weekly drops
The odds of getting valuable items are extremely low. While case opening can be exciting, it's important to understand the probabilities before spending money on keys and cases.
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