
Are CSGO Case Opening Results Predetermined? Ultimate Truth Revealed
CSGO cases are not predetermined. When you purchase and open a case in Counter-Strike: Global Offensive (CS:GO), the item outcome is determined at the exact moment you open it through a random number generator (RNG).
I've extensively researched this topic and can confirm that Valve, the game's developer, uses a system where the odds are calculated in real-time when you click the "open case" button. This means that buying cases in advance doesn't influence what you'll get - each case opening is an independent event.
Here's how the case opening system actually works:
1. When you click to open a case, the game's server generates a random number 2. This number corresponds to specific probability ranges for different item rarities 3. The system then selects an item from that rarity pool 4. The spinning animation you see is purely cosmetic and doesn't affect the outcome
The odds for different item rarities in CS:GO cases are:
- Blue (Mil-Spec): ~79.92% chance - Purple (Restricted): ~15.98% chance - Pink (Classified): ~3.2% chance - Red (Covert): ~0.64% chance - Yellow (Special Item/Knife): ~0.26% chance
This random generation system is regulated in many countries, requiring Valve to disclose the exact odds and ensure fair gameplay. The system cannot be manipulated or predicted, and no external factors influence the outcome.
It's worth noting that the items you see scroll by during the case opening animation have no bearing on what you'll receive. This is purely for entertainment purposes and doesn't reflect any "near misses" or predetermined outcomes.
Some players believe they can predict outcomes based on patterns or timing, but this is a misconception. Each case opening is completely independent of previous openings, similar to how a roulette wheel works in a casino.
If you're considering opening cases, remember that the odds remain the same regardless of how many cases you open or when you open them. There's no strategy that can improve your chances of getting rare items.
Related Articles

How to Get Cases in CS:GO: Complete Guide for New Players
